{"id":124,"date":"2014-08-20T17:13:47","date_gmt":"2014-08-20T21:13:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/?page_id=124"},"modified":"2014-08-20T19:25:17","modified_gmt":"2014-08-20T23:25:17","slug":"suit-break-odds-worksheet","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/?page_id=124","title":{"rendered":"Suit Break Odds &#8211; Worksheet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>You don&#8217;t have to be a statistician to play bridge. \u00a0You don&#8217;t have to know binomial distributions or how to calculate exact odds for the distribution of the missing cards in a suit. \u00a0It really is helpful, though, to know the approximate odds for how the missing cards in a suit will split when you are the declarer. \u00a0I&#8217;ll try not to give you raw percentages, but I&#8217;ll provide you some mnemonics to help you remember them.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s a great page on these odds at\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.rpbridge.net\/4b00.htm\">http:\/\/www.rpbridge.net\/4b00.htm<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Suit Break Thumb Rule<\/strong>: If you are missing an\u00a0<em>odd<\/em> number of cards they are more likely to break nearly evenly more often than not. \u00a0If you are missing an <em>even<\/em> number of cards they will split evenly less often than they will split unevenly. \u00a0For example, missing 5 cards they will split 3-2 or 2-3 more often than not. \u00a0If you are missing 6 cards they will split 4-2 or 2-4 more often than they will split 3-3.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Missing 2 Cards:<\/strong>\u00a0 The 1-1 split is only slightly more likely than the 2-0 split. \u00a0Usually you should play to <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"> \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span>\u00a0a missing King.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Missing 3 Cards:\u00a0<\/strong>The 2-1 split is a little bit better than a <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span> out of <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> chance.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Missing 4 Cards: \u00a0<\/strong>You will get a 2-2 split approximately <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> times out of\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"> \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> . \u00a0(Mnemonic: \u00a02+2 = 4). \u00a0You should play to <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span> a missing Queen in the absence of other information.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Missing 5 Cards<\/strong>: \u00a0They will split 2-3 approximately\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"> \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> out of every\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"> \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span>\u00a0times. \u00a0You should play to\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0a missing Queen in the absence of other information.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Missing 6 Cards:<\/strong> \u00a0They will split 3-3 a little more than\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span>\u00a0out of every\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span>\u00a0times. \u00a0They will split 2-4 nearly\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"> \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/span> of the time. \u00a0(Mnemonic: 2\/4 = 1\/2).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You don&#8217;t have to be a statistician to play bridge. \u00a0You don&#8217;t have to know binomial distributions or how to calculate exact odds for the distribution of the missing cards in a suit. \u00a0It really is helpful, though, to know&#8230;<br \/><a class=\"read-more-button\" href=\"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/?page_id=124\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":20,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/124"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=124"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/124\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":134,"href":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/124\/revisions\/134"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/20"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/bigfootbridge.club\/bigfootbridge\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}